Our Thinking

23 - Oct - 20

Data science

How Data Science and Behavioural Economics are changing the research world

Stop asking questions and start getting answers

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21 - Aug - 20

You can kiss the lipstick index goodbye: Our lip care trend predictions for 2021

Lipstick out, moisturiser in Back in August, the famous ‘lipstick index’, a phrase coined by Leonard Lauder signifying the resilience of cosmetics during times of economic turmoil due to consumers turning to makeup as an affordable indulgence, was substituted by the ‘moisturising index’.

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20 - Aug - 20

CPG insight and innovation is flying blind

Break the COVID research paralysis and get your 2021+ innovation pipeline back on track. Covid-19: A perfect storm for Insight and Innovation teams We Brits tend to be rather good at weather metaphors. In the early days of Covid-19, we likened the confusion, uncertainty and sense of darkness that many of us were feeling to being caught in a storm.

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20 - Aug - 20

How to separate the trend signal from the Covid noise

Black Swan’s new Covid Classifier explained The pitfalls of analysing consumer behaviour in a pandemic

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20 - Aug - 20

Cut through the uncertainty and unpredictability of Covid-19

Well, this is embarrassing… I started Black Swan Data because I believed AI applied to big data could help global CPG brands with one of their biggest challenges – uncertainty.

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07 - Aug - 20

Black Swan and Connected Traveller Services

Hello, We recently removed the Fethr logo from our website and we’ve had a number of enquiries regarding our Aviation business so I wanted to provide a quick explanation.

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06 - Aug - 20

Consumer Behaviour

What’s for dinner tonight? Our trend predictions in Foods and Meals

What's for dinner tonight? Tomorrow? In 2021 and beyond? Our Foods and Meals trend predictions will tell you.

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11 - Jun - 20

8 Years of Trends in 8 Weeks with Mondelez SnackFutures

What a long time eight weeks can be. It’s enough time to lose a stone in weight on the NHS weight loss plan, to gain four pounds in weight if you are a new born baby, or to work up to running for 28 minutes at a time, on the Couch to 5K programme.

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21 - May - 20

Navigating the Storm with Colgate-Palmolive’s Cherie Leonard

A week may be a long time in politics, but a fortnight can feel like a lifetime in lockdown. Based on our fortnightly COVID-19 reports, which cover both broad societal and category specific topics, it seems that two weeks is the cycle time for change. In this, our third fortnightly webinar, the overriding observation is how consumers are changing from thinking about life after the virus, to finding ways to adapt and live through it.

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12 - May - 20

Navigating the Storm | Diverging Behaviors in Personal Care

Lockdown week 9. At this point I think we’ll all forgive each other if certain elements of our previously immaculate personal care regimes have slipped, with human contact limited to a slew of video calls (and Zoom’s “touch up” filter hides a multitude of imperfections).

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01 - May - 20

Navigating the Storm | Debunking the 'New Normal'

A panel discussion with Reckitt Benckiser and Black Swan Data.

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20 - Apr - 20

Navigating the Storm | Shifting Emotional & Functional Drivers in Skincare

Skin. It’s our largest organ and plays a vital role in protecting us from outside infection and disease. It’s no surprise that COVID-19 has contributed to an uptick in conversation around skincare (+141% over the past 4 weeks). It’s a multi-faceted conversation that points to a number of direct (hygienic) and indirect (Zoom vanity) implications.

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